I live in the DC area and want to know what the situation looks like locally. I’m not a fan of lists of numbers, or big red dots. They don’t tell me much. I want graphs showing changes over time. I want to see if things are trending better or worse.
Below are charts to help me ‘see’ what is happening. These are charts I cannot find anywhere else and compliment the other sources provided at the bottom of the post. The data is from credible sources, cited below.
There are, in general, two charts for each set of data. The first chart shows total cases over time, the second will show new cases over that same period. The second is, perhaps, more useful – as it will show whether or not infection rates are trending downward.
Maryland at a High Level
These charts show three key views of the state of affairs in Maryland. First shows the number of new cases and new deaths daily over the past 14 days across the state. A trend line is included to, hopefully, show a downward trend. The second shows new cases at the county level. The third shows the number of individuals currently hospitalized, broken down to show those in intensive or acute care.
Maryland Cases by Age Range and Sex
These charts show the number of new cases and new deaths in specific age demographics and by sex.
The DMV Region
This chart covers a portion of the Washington DC, Maryland, and Virginia region (the DMV). Specifically, it includes Washington DC and the Maryland and Virginia counties that are within a reasonable commuting radius of the city.
The U.S. – How are we doing over time?
This chart shows the number of new cases and new deaths daily over the past 14 days across the United States. A trend line is included to, hopefully, show a downward trend.
To keep these charts clean, I established a threshold of 50 confirmed cases to be separately listed in this chart. On 4/1/2020, Dorchester county reported its first confirmed case. On 4/2/2020, Allegany, the last to fall, reported its first case. On 4/5/2020 Harford crossed the 50 confirmed case threshold.
On 3/27/2020, Charles, Frederick, Harford counties crossed the 15 case threshold, as did Carroll county on 3/29. As of 3/29/2020, Allegany and Dorchester remain the only counties in Maryland with no reported confirmed cases.
Parameters that will drive the preparation, training, gear, food, water, etc:
Distance: 184.5 miles. Cumberland, MD, to Washington, DC.
Duration: 4-6 days
Terrain: Nearly flat, very little terrain variety. Portions may be rocky, muddy, overgrown – but the trail is essentially flat. Long stretches with shade, long stretches no shade.
Proximity to water: High during entire duration.
Season/Weather: September, second half.
Party size: 1
Notes and Thoughts
Duration: I will have to refine this estimate based on training and level of intensity. At 4 days, that’s 46 m/d. At 6 days, that’s 30 m/d. Given the terrain, 30 m/d is doable – 46 may be insanely optimistic – or just plain insane. I live 0.5 miles from the C&O – I’ll be able to do some good training hikes to figure this out… TRAINING: Do several long hikes to determine rate of travel.
Proximity to water: There will be ready access to water, though potability will be questionable. PACK: 500ml water bottle, filter, purification tabs.
Season/Weather: Anticipate temperatures from 90+ during the day. While unlikely, temperatures could get to near freezing at night – more likely, 50-60s. Rain is possible. Snow highly unlikely. Can check weather as get closer. Mosquito mitigation a must. PACK: Layers, rain gear, bug mitigation.
Party size: I intend to solo the hike. In mid-September, I anticipate reasonable trail use – so I’m not overly concerned about not finding aid if an emergency arises. Additionally, as the C&O is, essentially, a single trail without deviations and branches – it should be close to impossible to get lost. PACK: cell, battery, Ham radio programmed with frequencies of repeaters along the route.